Although there were many independent films and commercial blockbusters last year, this year's Oscar nominations can only be described as lackluster. After the nomination list was announced, I feel that the overall quality of Hollywood films is declining. Perhaps it is really difficult for the golden age of films that were once comparable to "War of Gods" to reappear.
I think the following four films have the best chance of winning:
Everything Everywhere All at Once starring Michelle Yeoh, this is an imaginative and amazing work. The story of the film interprets the torture of the soul under the multiverse in a fantasy setting. The film is one of the most unmissable films in 2022.
The Banshees of Inisherin discusses symbolic existentialism. A pair of two buddies who used to be good friends are now estranged from each other and even have their fingers bleed. They use the history of Ireland at that time as a metaphor for the present, and do so in an extremely low-key way.
Next is the movie All Quiet on the Western Front produced by NETFLIX, a remake of the classic, the anti-war theme is more in line with the current situation, and the film is neat and impeccable.
The Fabelmans directed by Steven Spielberg, people want to leave a good memory for themselves when they get old, and give a memorial to the movies they love, but filmmakers who have worked in film industry will think this movie is hypocritical, because there are too many characters in the movie support the main character to pursue a movie career, which is not possible in real life.
As the best film, it is necessary to be more "correct", which may also add some obstacles to the relatively high-profile Everything Everywhere All at Once. After all, the movie is composed of black humor and a lot of so-called low fun. It is a work, but the family and Asian topics discussed at the core, the thinking dimension can sink very well.
Talking about this, it seems that these have little to do with the quality of the film. Yes, the best film has always ranked the quality of the film as the second or even the third. It is more about the overall situation and the current environment, and whether it is "correction".
Having said so much, you can get a glimpse of who will win the BEST PICTURE, feel the direction and encouragement of the overall Hollywood film industry, and even the entire American ideological trend.
For example, if an American theme like Top Gun: Maverick is finally awarded, it is not impossible to return to the feeling of being awarded to Argoin 2013, and if Elvis wins the best picture, it means that Hollywood has returned to the focus on American culture. It’s about wind direction.
Let’s look at the best director, and we have extracted five from the best pictures:
🎥Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, directors of Everything Everywhere All at Once
🎥Martin McDonagh, director of The Banshees of Inisherin
Considering the previous Oscars and analyzing the technical aspects of the director, The Banshees of Inisherin will have a greater chance of winning. Martin McDonagh's style is more academic, and the film is better in terms of director scheduling and lens language use. So the best director should be Martin McDonagh.
I think Riseboroguh is already out because of the issue of the film.
The best actress is predicted to be based on rationality and sensibility, and Michelle Yeoh have a big chance to win it. First, Michelle Yeoh's performance in Everything Everywhere All at Once is indeed very good. In the movie, she acts as a mother, a daughter, and a wife, and she continues to play in various universes. Staged a different life, the drama path is very broad, the challenge is great, and the play is very fun.
In addition, Michelle Yeoh won the best actress, which also made the Oscar look “correct”. Michelle Yeoh, as the first Asian actor nominated for the Oscar for best actress, if she wins the award, she will become the first to win the best actress Asian, and Michelle Yeoh has just won the best actress award from the Screen Actors Guild of America (SAG). You must know that this is the strongest Oscar vane. I believe she will have the last laugh!
Of course, I also think Cate Blanchett's performance in the film Tar is also very good, want to shout BRAVO to her!!!
In short, the best actress competition can be said to be locked between the two.
On the whole, I predict that Brendan Fraser has the best chance of winning. If you have watched the old version of The Mummy (1999), I believe you are still familiar with Fraser. He was a Hollywood superstar.
However, Brandon's acting career has been stumbling, and he has faded out of the showbiz for many years, and now he has returned strongly with this A24 masterpiece The Whale, and of course there is a movie Batgirl, which was cut off by WB.
The director of The Whale is Darren Aronofsky of Black Swan. He can be said to be a talented director who cultivated the best actor and best actress. It is he who made Natalie Portman get the best actress. The tricky angle presents the plight of marginal characters, thus magnifying the fragility of human nature. Generally speaking, Aronofsky's movies are very suitable for cultivating the best actors and testing their acting skills.
🏆NOMINEESforACTOR in a SUPPORTING ROLE🏆
Next up for best supporting actor:
⭐Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
⭐Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
⭐Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
⭐Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
⭐Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Maybe Ke Huy Quan may win the award, but in terms of acting skills, Brendan Gleeson, who can be the leading actor, will have a better chance of winning, and he deserves an Oscar.
🏆NOMINEESforACTRESS in a SUPPORTING ROLE🏆
The best supporting actress nominees are:
⭐Angela Bassett in MARVEL's blockbuster Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
⭐Hong Chau, The Whale
⭐Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
⭐Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
⭐Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Here I used the method of exclusion. Angela Bassett should be able to get it. She played the role of the distraught mother in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, making the whole character prominent and impressive, and we should see black actors in the movie efforts and contributions in the industry.
It can be said that this is the most anticipated major award of this year's Oscars.
My personal winner prediction list is (just personal guessing):
📯The Best Picture: The Banshees of Inisherin
📯The Best Director: Martin McDonagh
📯The Actress in a Leading Role: Michelle Yeoh
📯The Actor in a Leading Role: Brendan Fraser
📯The Actress in a Supporting Role: Angela Bassett
📯The Actor in a Supporting Role: Brendan Gleeson
The 95th Academy Awards Ceremony will begin on March 13, so let's see the outcome then! I hope this big prediction is helpful to you who are looking forward to the Oscars! You are also welcome to leave a message and tell me who is the winner in your heart?
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